Analysis

The Obama administration’s recent focus on finding a compromise to allow the Iranian regime to maintain some enrichment capabilities “for peaceful purposes” distracts from the underlying nuclear threat at hand.
A review of Brigadier General Gholamreza Baghbani's career trajectory solidifies a pattern of generational change in the IRGC QF in which former QF field operatives are pursing prominent political and advisory positions.
Iran is at the threshold of a nuclear weapons capability. AEI's Critical Threats Project has produced a capabilities assessment of the time required for Iran to acquire enough weapons-grade uranium to fuel one nuclear weapon if it proceeds to break out in 2012.
The Islamic Republic of Iran will soon hold its first national election since widespread protests led to a violent crackdown following the 2009 presidential contest. The factional composition of Iran’s ninth parliament will remain largely unchanged because the regime has excluded candidates outside of an extremely narrow range of conservatives. There are, however, real divisions amongst the various shades of conservatives and their future in the Islamic Republic will be impacted by the outcome of these elections.
Iran is at the threshold of a nuclear weapons capability. AEI's Critical Threats Project has produced a capabilities assessment of the time required for Iran to acquire enough weapons-grade uranium to fuel one nuclear weapon if it proceeds to break out in 2012.
Americans are being played for fools by Iran—and fooling themselves. There is no case to be made that Iran is not pursuing a nuclear weapons capability.
Calling the Fordow enrichment plant a 'Potemkin' plant is grossly misleading. Unfortunately, the reality that must be confronted is much more complicated and dangerous.
The prospect of Iran achieving nuclear breakout capability is becoming more imminent.