Iranian Nuclear Program
Event: The Costs of Containing Iran: More than the US Is Bargaining For
Date: Tuesday, December 6, 2011, 10:30 - 12:00 PM
Location: Capitol Visitors Center (Senate side), SVC 209-08, 1st Street NE
Iranian officials and state-run publications have often claimed that the Iranian regime does not seek nuclear weapons. This position contradicts the historical evidence and recent International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) reports citing concerns over nuclear weapons activities that, according to the head of the IAEA, “may have continued until recently.”
Iran has long stonewalled the IAEA, the organization tasked with enforcing multiple United Nations Security Council resolutions that demand a halt to Iran’s illicit nuclear activities. And this week the rogue regime continued its march: Iranian leaders announced steps to accelerate and harden their nuclear program, ignoring recent measures taken by the U.S. and UN that included multiple rounds of diplomacy and sanctions meant to change the regime’s behavior.
In this working paper for the Council on Foreign Relations, Frederick W. Kagan examines the deterrence model from a theoretical and historical perspective and assesses whether a nuclear Islamic Republic of Iran would be deterrable. The full text of the paper can be downloaded below or accessed here.