The Iran Tracker Blog is produced by American Enterprise Institute Resident Fellow J. Matthew McInnis and the Critical Threats Project. The blog highlights the most salient news stories of the previous week, analyzes the larger themes, and provides an outlook for future Iranian developments. Regular analysis will be posted below.
The Obama administration has often responded to crises of confidence in its foreign policy by treating unease and skepticism among international allies and partners, and among critics at home, as a messaging problem. It has interpreted failure to secure buy-in or cooperation as a failure to communicate effectively, rather than as a potential sign of flawed substance.
In this working paper for the Council on Foreign Relations, Frederick W. Kagan examines the deterrence model from a theoretical and historical perspective and assesses whether a nuclear Islamic Republic of Iran would be deterrable. The full text of the paper can be downloaded below or accessed here.